Elections forecaster FiveThirtyEight puts Obama as having a 100.0% chance of winning in New York.I completely disagree. While your vote for or against Obama as a NYer will (probably) not change who is in the White House in a year, whether or not you vote, the party in which you vote, the mechanism you chose to vote and the fact that you voted at all does matter.
In other words, your vote for President doesn't matter.
You should either do something to ensure your Presidential vote does matter - for instance, supporting the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact - or figure out a local (contested) election to vote on where your vote actually does matter.
If I understand it, it sounds like you are asking which candidate is the best fit for your vote based exclusively on how each candidate will advance your self-interests in various areas.The Agitator has a recent post about voting for something that is against your personal interests but for the public good:
anonnymoose, that may be the case but don't most people vote based on what the candidate will do for them personally? This is a serious question, not snark. Also, not all of my "issues" will solely benefit me: the environment, guns, wartime spending, federal funding for worthy organizations, etc.
If you can bring yourself to advocate a policy that runs against your personal interests, we can infer two very interesting things. First, the policy is probably especially good for the public; it would not otherwise overcome the personal interest. Second, if you have to “bring yourself” to advocate it, then you are probably under-advocating. You should talk about it more often, not for your own good, but for the good of the country.posted by Brian Puccio at 7:19 PM on August 23, 2012
Here are some of mine:
Phase out the mortgage interest tax credit. My family would suffer directly if it disappeared. That doesn’t make it good policy. The mortgage interest tax credit distorts the housing market and unfairly privileges the upper middle class, of which I’m a member.
...
Now I challenge my fellow wonks: What policies do you support that run directly against your personal interests?
It would be extraordinarily improbable if impartial reasoning about public affairs never led you away from your personal interests, wouldn’t it?
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You should always vote. It is your ethical obligation to your democracy to inform yourself, as you are attempting to here (in an "interesting" way), and vote.
posted by taff at 2:52 PM on August 23, 2012 [23 favorites]