UK Politics constituency predictions

June 28, 2024 4:56 AM

Hi, I want to vote in the upcoming UK election. I've got a lot of life stuff going on so I haven't been following politics. Can someone point me to any resources that show the predicted voting for each constituency? If it's a close run between two big parties then I need to vote tactically otherwise I want to give a token vote to a minor party.
posted by an opinicus to Law & Government (7 answers total)

This site has come up in some of the UK Politics discussions I've seen, and includes modeled predictions for all constituencies.
posted by Tomorrowful at 5:26 AM on June 28

Electoral Calculus has a breakdown by constituency (and breaks predictions right down to the ward/locality level).
posted by parm at 5:33 AM on June 28

(and if you have a particular interest in tactically voting to get rid of the Tories, then tactical.vote has you covered)
posted by parm at 5:35 AM on June 28

Thanks to TheophileEscargot over on the Blue, here's an aggregator showing all the poll predictions for each constituency. Scroll down to find a big long list of constituencies, with the predicted winner (per predictor) for each. Click through on your constituency for a more detailed breakdown of what percentage of the vote each predictor thinks each party will get.
posted by ManyLeggedCreature at 5:48 AM on June 28 [5 favorites]

There are several tactical voting sites, that will generally give predicted votes. I think the best one is https://www.getvoting.org/, since it takes into account local council elections, party targets, and local factors, as well as the results of the last election and the current polling.
posted by siskin at 5:52 AM on June 28

Chekkitout SwapMyVote: smooth out the inequities of First Past The Post.
posted by BobTheScientist at 6:25 AM on June 28

Doesn't matter if some think it might be a close run thing. Vote for your preferred (or least disliked) choice from the two, don't leave it to others to determine the result.
posted by epo at 6:56 AM on June 28 [1 favorite]