The Allied leaders did not intend to destroy Germany through unpayable reparations. They originally hoped to obtain postwar reconstruction financing from the United States government, and once it became evident that there would be no Marshall Plan after the Great War, the reparation bill that they finally submitted to Germany to compensate for the absence of American aid was relatively moderate and well within that country's capacity to pay (even before it was reduced even further during the '20s). ... Germany was not crushed by the burden of reparations; on the contrary, all of the reparation payments it did make were financed by American savers and investors rather than by German taxpayers.The idea that poor Germany had been crushed by vengeful Allies was obviously useful to German politicians after the war; I'm not sure why it's had such a long shelf life.
The importance of Germany to general European recovery is well-known and requires no statistical illustration. No impartial student of Europe's pre-war economy can fail to appreciate the vital significance which German productivity and German markets have had for the well-being of the continent. And even a superficial glance at Europe's post-war economic situation will be sufficient to show that it is idle to talk of any real reduction in the abnormal economic dependence of the leading industrial nations of the continent on outside support as long as this tremendous center ot European productivity lies prostrate. ...You may also find PPS/37 of interest. Here Kennan argues that the US ought to push for an early German settlement, i.e. both Western and Soviet withdrawal from Germany, and German reunification (with safeguards against revived German militarism), rather than continuing to leave Germany and thus Europe divided. Kennan discusses both the advantages and the risks of this course. In particular:
The primary objective of U.S. policy toward Germany is to prevent a recrudescence of German militarism and to see that the Germans never again menace the other peoples of Europe and the world. The draft treaty on disarmament and demilitarization of Germany which has been put forward by this Government in recent meetings of the Council of Foreign Ministers is an emphatic manifestation of this policy. The suggestions set forth below, designed to ensure that Germany contributes to European recovery, are regarded as comlng entirely within the framework of this security policy. Nothing contained in them is intended to constitute or imply the slightest deviation from the principles of that draft treaty.
This Government has recognized from the start that recovery in the allied countries should be given precedence over recovery in Germany. The present situation in the U.S.-U.K. zones, however, in which industrial production is less than half of pre-war, food supplies are considerably below the minimum requirements for health and efficiency, and foreign trade is only a trickle of its former dimensions, represents a degree of retardation in the recuperation of German production far greater than any reasonable system or priorities would warrant. Between this point and a point where it could be claimed that the interests of German economy were being favored over those of Germany's present neighbors, there lies a wide gap most of which must be filled before general European recovery can become a reality. ...
Among the measures which seem to be indicated if German production is to be increased are the following:
1. There should be a simplification of Allied control and an increase in German responsibility for administration. It is clear that the combination of two military governments in the U.S.-U.K. zones operating through central bizonal agencies in economic affairs, and through diverse patterns of zonal agencies in other questions, is not adequate, and cannot be made adequate even with the best of will and efficiency, to bring about the necessary increase of production. It cannot assure the requisite simplicity and economy of administrative effort. It involves too great a diffusion of responsibility and authority. It is not designed to encourage that sense of responsibility, confidence and opportunity on the part of the Germans themselves which is indispensable to any real economic progress in that area.
Available information indicates that there is developing among the Germans a strong current of political restiveness and a determination to regain responsibility for the conduct of their own affairs. At the moment, this current is not directed against us; but it could easily become so. The real German leaders will continue to shun governmental responsibility in terms of a divided Germany. With Germany divided, and with the continued responsibility for occupation in the west, we will find it more difficult than we now anticipate to turn over to German authorities enough power to attract these German leaders to open assumption of responsibility. If they cannot be brought to this point, we will have to continue to work through discredited persons, regarded by the Germans as puppets; and real German political developments will go underground and take on more and more the character of an opposition to the occupational authority. Something, in other words, is going to have to be done to meet the insistent German demand for greater responsibility. It would be much easier to meet this demand in a unified Germany than through the London program.
1. because they were afraid that the Germans might like the Russians more then the West and
2. they needed to re-arm Germany for a possible East-West military confrontation.
Were they not at all suspicious of Germany after its role in the first two world wars?
What role?
The Pity of War: Explaining World War I by Niall Ferguson
Preemptive war
posted by yoyo_nyc at 11:32 AM on July 29, 2008