I'm an American living in the UK (sports betting is legal here). Let's suppose I had $100 to spread on various bets between now and Super Bowl LI. How would you suggest I spread those sweet Washingtons, using current odds? [more inside]
At the casino table game of Craps, does the way you throw matter? If you blow on the dice, shake them, throw different than the other previous shooter, or emulate the lucky shooter, will the outcome of winning or losing change? or is this a simple un-measurable superstition related to "things that make a shooter 7-out"?
What are some examples that can help confused beginner-level students better understand what odds are and what they can tell us? [more inside]
I thought bookmakers would take bets on just about anything, bookish competitions included—Ladbrokes has Haruki Murakami at 6:1 for this year's Nobel Prize for Literature—but I'm not finding anyone offering odds on this weekend's Hugo Awards. Are there any "official" odds on the Hugos? And if not, why not? [more inside]
According to Back to the Future II, the Chicago Cubs will win the World Series in the distant future of 2015. If a meme started up and caused an inordinate number of people to jokingly/ironically bet on the Cubs next season, would that affect their odds? [more inside]
I recently listed to a This American Life episode about professional poker players, who learned how to accurately estimate pot odds in Texas Hold-Em based upon their hands and the revealed cards, rigidly bet/folded based upon those odds, and won a lot of money. Is there any reason I can't do the same if I knew how to memorize the calculations they use? If so, where would I start (what books/websites contain this info?) and why can't I just automate that process (or consult a table of calculations) and win a lot of money in online poker?
How would one (legally) take advantage of the change in odds of a given NFL team to win the Super Bowl? [more inside]
Are the odds in this raffle significantly better than last year? [more inside]
How do you improve your odds of winning at a drawing with multiple prizes? [more inside]
Can someone help with a probability question? [more inside]
Good contest sites and Facebook contests that are open internationally (or just to Canadian residents)?
Good contest sites and Facebook contests that are open internationally (or just to Canadian residents)? [more inside]
Tomorrow, Zenyatta will attempt to win her 20th and final race at Churchill Downs. I am not a gambler, but would like to place some bets to make watching the race more fun. Of course, I wouldn't mind winning some money, too. I'm hoping someone here can give me some strategy tips based on these odds. A friend has suggested placing 12 exacta bets on Zenyatta to win and each of the others to place. The assumption I'm making is that she will indeed win.
So I'm gay. Turns out a lot of folks in my extended family are as well. What are the odds? Has anyone studied extended family charting specifically? [more inside]
I play Hold 'em on PokerStars, are there any extensions, add-ons, etc that I should be using? [more inside]
I understand the danger parvovirus poses to puppies, but what are the odds of a puppy contracting the disease in the US (specifically Alameda County, California)? [more inside]
On a single round of betting at a casino what is the best odds? (One that doesn't require skill such as BJ or Poker. Something where I can just walk up and put a chip(s) somewhere like Roulette or Craps.) [more inside]
What are the chances of spinning a Yahtzee on the first roll? [more inside]
Theoretically, what would be the best way to game the ESPN 'Streak for the Cash' game? (Note: I do not actually want to do this) [more inside]
How do I make sense of the "moneyline" form of betting odds for mixed martial arts? [more inside]
What are the chances, in blackjack, that I will start with 15, and the dealer will be showing a 10 (or face card worth 10)? [more inside]
Inspired by this question - how does one really asses how "safe" a mode of transportation is? [more inside]
Statistics question: How can I calculate the odds of flipping a coin to get x consecutive heads anywhere within a data set of y flips. (more inside) [more inside]
I need a tool to help me analyze the probability of certain events occurring regarding a pool of X dice for a game I am creating. See my examples below. [more inside]
One in three chance you'll win a free pop, check under the cap! Does anyone audit these advertised odds? [more inside]
math-and-logic-filter: only two more floors - I'm almost there! or am I? [more inside]
Where can I find quick, reliable everyday probability/statistical information on the net? [more inside]
Where (online) can I gamble on what will be announced at MacWorld tomorrow? [more inside]
Which city is safer: San Francisco or Philadelphia? [more inside]
4 different models of a toy are sold in identical, sealed boxes. Assuming the 4 different models are produced/sold/distributed in equal numbers, etc..., what are the chances of buying only 4 boxes, chosen at random (at different times, even), and getting all 4 different toys? [more inside]
Probability filter: How do you determine the odds of being extremely unlucky? [more inside]
Someone told me that there was a 9 in 10 chance of getting shot if one is held up at gunpoint. Is this true? [more inside]
Which game has better odds: Craps or Blackjack and why?
What can people tell me about scratch lottery tickets? [more inside] [more inside]