33 posts tagged with odds.
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How would you spread a $100 bet on the Super Bowl?

I'm an American living in the UK (sports betting is legal here). Let's suppose I had $100 to spread on various bets between now and Super Bowl LI. How would you suggest I spread those sweet Washingtons, using current odds? [more inside]
posted by Optamystic on Jan 6, 2017 - 3 answers

Does the way you throw dice in craps change the outcome?

At the casino table game of Craps, does the way you throw matter? If you blow on the dice, shake them, throw different than the other previous shooter, or emulate the lucky shooter, will the outcome of winning or losing change? or is this a simple un-measurable superstition related to "things that make a shooter 7-out"?
posted by brent on Nov 4, 2015 - 11 answers

Intuitive odds

What are some examples that can help confused beginner-level students better understand what odds are and what they can tell us? [more inside]
posted by palindromic on Feb 25, 2015 - 12 answers

The Hugo Awards: what are the odds?

I thought bookmakers would take bets on just about anything, bookish competitions included—Ladbrokes has Haruki Murakami at 6:1 for this year's Nobel Prize for Literature—but I'm not finding anyone offering odds on this weekend's Hugo Awards. Are there any "official" odds on the Hugos? And if not, why not? [more inside]
posted by mumkin on Aug 15, 2014 - 3 answers

Cubs win World Series? ...Against Miami?

According to Back to the Future II, the Chicago Cubs will win the World Series in the distant future of 2015. If a meme started up and caused an inordinate number of people to jokingly/ironically bet on the Cubs next season, would that affect their odds? [more inside]
posted by TheSecretDecoderRing on Mar 9, 2014 - 2 answers

If I could memorize anything, could I nearly guarantee success in Poker?

I recently listed to a This American Life episode about professional poker players, who learned how to accurately estimate pot odds in Texas Hold-Em based upon their hands and the revealed cards, rigidly bet/folded based upon those odds, and won a lot of money. Is there any reason I can't do the same if I knew how to memorize the calculations they use? If so, where would I start (what books/websites contain this info?) and why can't I just automate that process (or consult a table of calculations) and win a lot of money in online poker?
posted by sdis on Apr 25, 2013 - 10 answers

Gambling odds question

How would one (legally) take advantage of the change in odds of a given NFL team to win the Super Bowl? [more inside]
posted by glenngulia on Sep 24, 2012 - 6 answers

Are the odds (ever) in my favor in this raffle?

Are the odds in this raffle significantly better than last year? [more inside]
posted by madajb on Apr 19, 2012 - 17 answers

Help me beat the odds.

How do you improve your odds of winning at a drawing with multiple prizes? [more inside]
posted by trogdole on Aug 12, 2011 - 9 answers

Need help with a probability question

Can someone help with a probability question? [more inside]
posted by caroljean63 on Jun 25, 2011 - 22 answers

Good contest sites and Facebook contests that are open internationally (or just to Canadian residents)?

Good contest sites and Facebook contests that are open internationally (or just to Canadian residents)? [more inside]
posted by GlassHeart on Apr 16, 2011 - 4 answers


Tomorrow, Zenyatta will attempt to win her 20th and final race at Churchill Downs. I am not a gambler, but would like to place some bets to make watching the race more fun. Of course, I wouldn't mind winning some money, too. I'm hoping someone here can give me some strategy tips based on these odds. A friend has suggested placing 12 exacta bets on Zenyatta to win and each of the others to place. The assumption I'm making is that she will indeed win.
posted by Shike on Nov 5, 2010 - 5 answers

Tell me more about my gay genes!

So I'm gay. Turns out a lot of folks in my extended family are as well. What are the odds? Has anyone studied extended family charting specifically? [more inside]
posted by Tchad on Aug 30, 2010 - 11 answers

Poker add-ons?

I play Hold 'em on PokerStars, are there any extensions, add-ons, etc that I should be using? [more inside]
posted by cyphill on Mar 21, 2010 - 4 answers

Parvovirus: odds of a puppy getting it?

I understand the danger parvovirus poses to puppies, but what are the odds of a puppy contracting the disease in the US (specifically Alameda County, California)? [more inside]
posted by zippy on Sep 1, 2009 - 10 answers

Daddy needs a new game of choice...

On a single round of betting at a casino what is the best odds? (One that doesn't require skill such as BJ or Poker. Something where I can just walk up and put a chip(s) somewhere like Roulette or Craps.) [more inside]
posted by who else on Aug 22, 2009 - 29 answers

What are the chances of spinning a Yahtzee on the first roll?

What are the chances of spinning a Yahtzee on the first roll? [more inside]
posted by R. Mutt on Aug 17, 2009 - 21 answers

Streak for the Math

Theoretically, what would be the best way to game the ESPN 'Streak for the Cash' game? (Note: I do not actually want to do this) [more inside]
posted by rooftop secrets on Feb 19, 2009 - 13 answers

$500 on GSP FTW

How do I make sense of the "moneyline" form of betting odds for mixed martial arts? [more inside]
posted by googly on Jan 27, 2009 - 6 answers

Math and Odds and Blackjack

What are the chances, in blackjack, that I will start with 15, and the dealer will be showing a 10 (or face card worth 10)? [more inside]
posted by gummo on Oct 28, 2008 - 8 answers

I'm only going to ride streetcars from now on

Inspired by this question - how does one really asses how "safe" a mode of transportation is? [more inside]
posted by NoRelationToLea on May 30, 2008 - 15 answers

Coin flip odds?

Statistics question: How can I calculate the odds of flipping a coin to get x consecutive heads anywhere within a data set of y flips. (more inside) [more inside]
posted by rocket88 on Jan 3, 2008 - 19 answers

complex dice probability make head esplode

I need a tool to help me analyze the probability of certain events occurring regarding a pool of X dice for a game I am creating. See my examples below. [more inside]
posted by DetonatedManiac on Dec 21, 2007 - 7 answers

Who audits the advertised odds on lotteries

One in three chance you'll win a free pop, check under the cap! Does anyone audit these advertised odds? [more inside]
posted by PercussivePaul on Sep 20, 2007 - 6 answers

math-and-logic-filter: only two more floors - I'm almost there! or am I?

math-and-logic-filter: only two more floors - I'm almost there! or am I? [more inside]
posted by krautland on Jul 20, 2007 - 31 answers

Where to find fun statistical odds?

Where can I find quick, reliable everyday probability/statistical information on the net? [more inside]
posted by drkrdglo on Jun 7, 2007 - 3 answers

Where can I gamble on Macworld announcements?

Where (online) can I gamble on what will be announced at MacWorld tomorrow? [more inside]
posted by hihowareyou on Jan 8, 2007 - 11 answers

Philly or SF, which is safer?

Which city is safer: San Francisco or Philadelphia? [more inside]
posted by rorycberger on Aug 10, 2006 - 14 answers

collect 'em all - what are the odds?

4 different models of a toy are sold in identical, sealed boxes. Assuming the 4 different models are produced/sold/distributed in equal numbers, etc..., what are the chances of buying only 4 boxes, chosen at random (at different times, even), and getting all 4 different toys? [more inside]
posted by ab3 on Jun 2, 2006 - 12 answers

What are the odds that I'm such a loser?

Probability filter: How do you determine the odds of being extremely unlucky? [more inside]
posted by TonyRobots on May 26, 2006 - 7 answers

What are the odds of getting shot if held up at gunpoint?

Someone told me that there was a 9 in 10 chance of getting shot if one is held up at gunpoint. Is this true? [more inside]
posted by spiderskull on Oct 31, 2005 - 26 answers

What are the odds? Craps vs. Blackjack

Which game has better odds: Craps or Blackjack and why?
posted by srboisvert on Sep 23, 2004 - 16 answers

Scratch lottery ticket quesiton

What can people tell me about scratch lottery tickets? [more inside] [more inside]
posted by Slimemonster on Jul 9, 2004 - 10 answers

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