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The administration's willingness to ignore dissenting views within the intelligence community also reflected a conviction, borne out of historical experience, that intelligence agencies typically underestimate threats to the United Sates. Paul Wolfowitz had come to this view early as a young analyst in the Team B exercise. Donald Rumsfeld shared it. Their work on a 1998 congressional commission that examined the ballistic missile threat to the United States only hardened their conviction that intelligence agencies regularly missed threats. Just weeks after the commission released its report, North Korea fired a long-range missile that the intelligence community said it was years away from developing.
"Cheney and Wolfowitz thought the CIA far too conservative," said a Pentagon adviser.
posted by scottreynen at 3:08 PM on December 18, 2005