To help Obama win, do I vote for Santorum or Gingrich? I'm an anarchist/socialist living in Alabama, where crossover voting is permitted. I'm looking for sound logic and effective strategy.
None of the major party candidates have a stance that's compatible with mine. I don't actually like
any of them. My sole aim is to keep the Republicans out of the White House because I think they will do ten or twenty percent more evil there than the Democrats. If Romney is denied the nomination (very unlikely) or if the GOP convention is chaotic and divided (a realistic possibility), I think it will improve Obama's chances in the general election.
Averaging together three recent Alabama polls, Real Clear Politics shows, effectively, a three-way tie:
So a few votes here or there could be important. I will be casting one of those votes. To help Obama win, should it be for Santorum or Gingrich?
Santorum currently has more delegates than Gingrich. If he takes Alabama and Mississippi, it could help him push Gingrich out of the race, leaving more votes on the floor for the man to hoover up and allowing him to actually take states away from Romney on down the road. This possibility is tantalizing.
On the other hand, a case can be made that Santorum and Gingrich together take more votes away from Romney than either of them individually. Since there's an excellent chance Romney will be the nominee in the end no matter what these two guys do, maybe the best strategy is to take the numerically largest bite possible out of him during the primary. If this strategy makes the most sense, then it would be logical to vote for Gingrich.
A victory or near-victory in Alabama might help to keep Newt in the race past the end of the week. Also, since he may be a little bit ahead of Santorum here in Bama, it could be the best chance I have of seeing our delegates handed to someone who isn't Romney. Also, if/when Newt does drop out, it's likely his delegates will end up backing Santorum anyway.
The cases for each option seem equally strong.
I'm looking for a cold-blooded, logical solution to this conundrum. (Perhaps game theory is applicable?) I don't care which of the Republican candidates is the most evil. I am absolutely not voting for Ron Paul. I'm simply looking to throw the election to Obama.
Please, pretty please: explain the logic which supports your recommendation. Logic will persuade me. If you think any of my own logic is flawed, don't hold back.