how do the microstate probabilities arise?The fundamental assumption is that if you can't distinguish between two microstates, then they are equally likely: in the poker example, if I tell you that I have a royal flush, you generally can't guess which suit, or what order I received the cards in.
how do they relate to heat?In general, lower-energy microstates are more probable than higher-energy microstates. The ratio of the probabilities is given by the Boltzmann factor, exp(E/kT), where E is the difference in energy and kT is the thermal energy, proportional to the temperature. So if two microstates have nearly the same energy, they're nearly equally likely; if the energies are very different, the lower-energy microstate is more likely, and the definition of "very" depends on the ambient temperature. There's usually a competition between the preference for low-energy states and the much larger number of higher-energy states.
and temperature?I think I did this one first.
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posted by empath at 4:57 AM on December 12, 2011